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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – December 4, 2023

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What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week Dec 4, 2023The first week of December’s largest reports are the GDP estimates, which will be the second estimations of the year prior to the final release. The final GDP reports will be after the new year and are the strongest indicator for the economic state of the country. With the Federal Reserve aiming for a soft landing for the economy, it is important for the GDP and inflation statistics to be in parity with each other. The last but also very important releases for the end of the year are the Personal Income and Spending data.


GDP Estimates (First Release)

The numbers: The U.S. economy grew at an assuring 5.2% annual pace in the third quarter, faster than previously reported, but the surprisingly strong gain appears to have been a one–off occurrence.

Gross domestic product, the official scorecard for the economy, was revised upwards Wednesday from an initially reported 4.9% rate of growth. It was the biggest increase in a decade, excluding the pandemic years of 2020 and 2021.

Consumer Spending

Consumer spending rose a mild 0.2% in October in potentially another sign of a long-predicted slowdown in the U.S. economy. While spending has slowed, many inflation rates, lending rates, and other factors have been showing signs of an improving economy.

Analysts polled by the Wall Street Journal had forecasted a 0.2% increase.

Consumer spending is the main engine of the U.S. economy and outlays grew a robust 3.6% in the third quarter.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

The last 4 weeks have seen a week-to-week decline in rates.

  • 15-Yr FRM rates seeing a week-to-week decrease by -0.11% with the current rate at 6.56%.
  • 30-Yr FRM rates seeing a week-to-week decrease by -0.07% with the current rate at 7.22%

MND Rate Index

  • 30-Yr FHA rates decreased week-to-week, seeing a -0.15% decrease for this week. Current rates at 6.50%
  • 30-Yr VA rates decreased week-to-week, seeing a -0.15% decrease for this week. Current rates at 6.50%

Jobless Claims

U.S. jobless claims drop to five-week low of 209,000.

Initial Claims have increased to 218,000 compared to the expected claims of 215,000. The prior week was 210,000.

What’s Ahead

Next week will be an important release schedule with the final CPI and PPI reports, which saddled alongside the final GDP numbers, will be the largest indicators for the robustness of the current economy and for 2023 as a whole.

The LTV Ratio: How ‘Loan-to-Value’ Works and Why You Need to Understand This Ratio

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Are you in the market for a new home? If you plan on using mortgage financing to buy your next home you’ve likely heard the phrase “loan-to-value” or the acronym “LTV” before. Let’s take a quick look at the loan-to-value ratio including why it’s important, how to calculate it, and how it can affect your mortgage.

What is the Loan-to-Value or LTV Ratio?

In short, the LTV ratio is a number that compares how much money you owe against your home with its resale value in the marketplace. A low LTV ratio indicates that you have far more equity in your home than you owe in mortgage payments; conversely, a high LTV ratio indicates that you owe almost as much as your home is worth.

Calculating your LTV ratio is easy. Simply divide the amount that you have (or will have) remaining in your mortgage by your home’s value. For example, if you own a home worth $250,000 and you still owe $150,000 on your mortgage, the calculation would be $150,000 divided by $250,000, which gives you an LTV ratio of 0.6 or 60 percent.

Why is the LTV Ratio Important?

Your LTV ratio is important for a number of reasons. First, your mortgage lender will use this figure as part of their risk calculation when they assess your financial suitability for your mortgage. If you’re only putting 5 percent of the purchase price in as a down payment you’ll have an LTV ratio of 95 percent, which is a more risky loan than one with an LTV ratio of 30 percent and thus will almost certainly come with a higher interest rate.

If you have an LTV ratio higher than 80 percent and you’re getting a mortgage from a conventional lender you’ll also be required to pay for private mortgage insurance or “PMI”. Although PMI rates generally sound quite low – in the neighborhood of 0.5 to 1 percent – they can add hundreds of dollars to your monthly mortgage payment. Note that PMI may not apply to you if you’re seeking out a government-backed mortgage from Veteran’s Affairs, the USDA, or the FHA.

While the LTV ratio might seem simple, this number can affect your mortgage in a variety of ways. Contact your local mortgage advisor today to learn more about the LTV ratio and to have your questions answered by an experienced professional.

Speed Your Mortgage Approval up by Following This Checklist

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Have you finally found your dream home after months of searching, and then you are told that the seller has received other offers? No buyer wants to find themselves in a bidding war against another buyer as it is a stressful situation. Being unprepared and not having your finances in order will make it even more stressful. Here are a few quick ways if you’re looking to speed up your mortgage approval process, here’s a checklist to help you prepare:

·        Review your credit report: Maintain a good credit score by paying bills on time, reducing existing debt, and avoiding new credit inquiries. Check your credit report for errors and make sure your credit score is in good shape. A good credit score can positively impact the approval and interest rate you receive.

·        Gather financial documents: Gather all necessary paperwork beforehand, including pay stubs, tax returns, bank statements, and any other financial documentation. Having these readily available will expedite the application process.

·        Save for a down payment: A larger down payment can reduce the risk for lenders, making them more inclined to approve your loan faster. It can also decrease the time needed for certain approval processes.

·        Stay at your job: It’s best to avoid changing jobs during the mortgage approval process.

·        Avoid new credit: Don’t apply for new credit or take on new debt during the approval process.

·        Don’t make big purchases: Avoid making large purchases, such as a car, during the approval process.

·        Respond promptly to requests: Once you’ve applied for a mortgage, respond promptly to any requests from your lender. Delays often occur when there’s a lack of communication or slow responses to queries or requests for additional information.

·        Work with a reputable lender: Choose a lender with a good reputation and experience in the mortgage industry.

·        Get pre-approved: Consider getting pre-approved for a mortgage before house hunting to speed up the approval process.

Stay informed about the process and ask questions if you’re unsure about any step. Following this checklist can help speed up your mortgage approval process and make the process smoother and less stressful.  Good communication with your lender is key to ensuring a smooth and expedited process.

Three Reasons Why You Might Consider a Reverse Mortgage When Nearing Retirement

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As retirement approaches, many individuals find themselves faced with financial challenges and uncertainties. One option that is often overlooked but can be incredibly beneficial is the reverse mortgage. A reverse mortgage is a financial tool that allows homeowners aged 62 and older to convert a portion of their home equity into tax-free funds. Here are three compelling reasons why you might consider a reverse mortgage when nearing retirement:

Supplement Your Retirement Income:

One of the most common concerns for retirees is whether they will have enough income to maintain their desired lifestyle throughout their golden years. Social Security and retirement savings may not always be sufficient to cover all expenses, and this is where a reverse mortgage can come to the rescue.

With a reverse mortgage, you receive monthly payments, a lump sum, or a line of credit based on the equity in your home. The funds you receive are not considered taxable income, and they can be used to supplement your retirement income, pay off existing mortgage debt, or cover unexpected medical expenses.

Eliminate Monthly Mortgage Payments:

A significant advantage of a reverse mortgage is that it allows you to eliminate monthly mortgage payments. By converting your home equity into a reverse mortgage, you can live in your home without the burden of monthly payments. This can free up a substantial portion of your income for other expenses, improving your financial security and reducing your financial stress.

Maintain Ownership of Your Home:

Some people worry that a reverse mortgage will require them to give up ownership of their home. However, this is not the case. With a reverse mortgage, you retain ownership of your home as long as you continue to live in it and maintain it. The loan is repaid when you or your heirs sell the property or when you no longer live in the home.

It’s important to note that a reverse mortgage is not suitable for everyone, and there are eligibility requirements and responsibilities associated with it. Before considering a reverse mortgage, it’s advisable to consult with a financial advisor or mortgage specialist to understand the terms, implications, and potential risks involved.

A reverse mortgage can be a valuable tool for retirees facing financial challenges or seeking to enhance their retirement lifestyle. When nearing retirement, it’s essential to explore all your financial options to make informed decisions that best align with your specific needs and goals. A reverse mortgage may be the right choice for you to enjoy a more comfortable and financially secure retirement.

Comparing Temporary and Permanent Mortgage Buydowns

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When it comes to mortgages, a “buydown” generally refers to paying an extra fee upfront to reduce the interest rate over a specific period. There are typically two types: temporary buydowns and permanent buydowns.

Permanent Buydown:
With a permanent buydown, the borrower pays extra fees at the beginning of the loan to permanently reduce the interest rate over the entire life of the loan. This differs from a temporary buydown because the reduced rate remains constant for the entire loan term, potentially resulting in lower overall interest payments.

Temporary Buydowns

A temporary buydown is a type of mortgage financing in which the borrower pays an upfront fee to temporarily reduce the interest rate on the mortgage for a specific period of time. During this period, the borrower enjoys lower monthly mortgage payments, which can help make homeownership more affordable.

The temporary buydown typically lasts for the first few years of the mortgage, usually 1 to 3 years. The borrower pays a one-time fee at closing, which is used to fund the temporary reduction in the interest rate. The fee can either be paid in cash or financed into the loan amount.

During the buydown period, the borrower’s interest rate is lower than the fully indexed rate. For example, if the fully indexed rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage is 4%, a temporary buydown might reduce the interest rate to 2% in the first year, 3% in the second year, and 4% in the third year, after which it would revert to the fully indexed rate for the remainder of the loan term.

The lower interest rate during the buydown period results in lower monthly mortgage payments for the borrower, which can make homeownership more affordable in the early years of the loan. This can be particularly beneficial for borrowers who anticipate lower income during the early years of homeownership but expect to earn more in the future.

It’s important to note that while a temporary buydown can lower monthly payments during the buydown period, it does not reduce the total amount of interest paid over the life of the loan. In fact, the total interest paid over the life of the loan may be higher due to the upfront fee paid to fund the buydown.

Better to do a Temporary Buydown or buy the rate down forever?

Deciding whether to do a temporary buydown or buy the rate down permanently depends on your specific financial situation and goals.

If you plan to stay in the home for a long time and have the financial means to pay the upfront fee, buying the rate down permanently may be a better option. This will result in a lower interest rate and lower monthly payments for the entire term of the loan, which can save you money in the long run.

On the other hand, if you plan to sell the home or refinance the mortgage before the buydown period ends, a temporary buydown may be a better option. The lower payments during the buydown period can help make homeownership more affordable in the short term, without committing to a higher interest rate for the life of the loan.

In general, it’s important to carefully consider your financial goals and circumstances when deciding whether to do a temporary buydown or buy the rate down permanently. You may want to consult with a financial advisor or mortgage professional to help you make the best decision for your individual needs.

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – November 27, 2023

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There will be a very light week with the Holiday season approaching. The only notable reports to have come out for the week are the U.S. economic leading indicators, with nothing scheduled around Thanksgiving weekend. The median forecast for the leading indicators has shown that with the rest of the CPI and PPI data among other economic statistics, the economy does seem to be heading towards a soft landing as the Federal Reserve had initially targeted. The most notable changes are lending partners cutting rates with the potential for shifting economic policies and rate cuts in the future.

U.S. Leading Economic Indicators

The numbers: The leading economic index declined 0.8% in October and fell for the 19th month in a row, but the U.S. economy doesn’t appear any closer to a recession than when the losing streak began.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

The last 4 weeks have seen a week-to-week decline in rates.

  • 15-Yr FRM rates seeing a week-to-week decrease by -0.09% with the current rate at 6.67%.
  • 30-Yr FRM rates seeing a week-to-week decrease by -0.15% with the current rate at 7.29%.

MND Rate Index

  • 30-Yr FHA rates decreased week-to-week, and we’re seeing a -0.12% decrease for this week. Current rates at 6.65%.
  • 30-Yr VA rates decreased week-to-week, and we’re seeing a -0.13% decrease for this week. Current rates at 6.65%

Jobless Claims
U.S. jobless claims drop to a five-week low of 209,000.
Initial Claims have decreased to 209,000 compared to the expected claims of 229,000. The prior week was 218,000.

What’s Ahead
With Thanksgiving in the rearview, we are also looking at many Federal Reserve chairmen speaking next week along with Q3 GDP data release reports. There is also Personal Income Spending and PCE Index which will demonstrate the strength of the economy at a personal level. Lastly, ISM manufacturing is a small but still worthwhile report to indicate production capacity for many trade aspects.