This week, the most important release of the year regarding inflation data will occur. Once again the CPI and PPI take the front stage clearing the way for rate cuts made by the Federal Reserves. Based on several indicators, there is strong confidence that if the upcoming inflation data meets expectations, we could see interest rate cuts before the year ends. In addition to the inflation data, the Consumer Credit reports will be released early this week. Both lending partners and the broader market have high expectations for these reports.
The previous week’s employment data also had a lot of positive things to say, with wages growing faster than inflation. The overall economic outlook has been positive.
U.S. Trade Deficit
The U.S. international trade deficit widened 7.9% in July to $78.8 billion from a revised $73 billion in the prior month, the Commerce Department said Wednesday. This is the largest monthly trade gap since June 2022.
Federal Reserve Beige Book
Nine out of 12 Federal Reserve regional districts reported flat or declining economic activity in August, according to the central bank’s so-called Beige Book report released on Wednesday. That’s up from five districts that reported weak conditions in the last report in mid-July. The four districts that have experienced weaker conditions than in the prior report appeared to be Philadelphia, Richmond, Atlanta, and St. Louis.
U.S. Employee Earnings
Real average hourly earnings for all employees increased 0.1 percent from June to July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from an increase of 0.2 percent in average hourly earnings combined with an increase of 0.2 percent in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U).
Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index
- 15-Yr FRM rates are seeing a decrease of –0.04% with the current rate at 5.47%
- 30-Yr FRM rates saw no change this week with the current rate at 6.35%
MND Rate Index
- 30-Yr FHA rates are seeing a –0.15% decrease for this week. Current rates at 5.67%
- 30-Yr VA rates are seeing a –0.14% decrease for this week. Current rates at 5.69%
Jobless Claims
Initial Claims were reported to be 232,000 compared to the expected claims of 230,000. The prior week landed at 228,000.
What’s Ahead
The upcoming CPI and PPI reports are the most critical releases of the year and will play a decisive role in shaping the interest rate cuts for the remainder of the year.
When buying or selling a home, a crucial step in the process is the home appraisal. It helps determine the property’s fair market value, which can significantly influence financing and negotiation outcomes. Whether you’re a first-time homebuyer or a seasoned seller, understanding the appraisal process is key. Here are seven commonly asked questions about home appraisals to guide you through.
Owning a pool is a dream for many homeowners, offering a perfect spot for exercise, relaxation, and fun with family and friends. However, it’s essential to understand the costs associated with maintaining a pool before diving into ownership. Pool maintenance is crucial for keeping your water clean, safe, and enjoyable throughout the season. Here’s a breakdown of what you can expect when it comes to pool maintenance costs.
Home upgrades not only enhance your living experience but can also significantly boost your property’s value. Whether you’re looking to enjoy your home for years to come or planning to put it on the market, certain improvements can offer substantial returns on investment. Here are the top five home upgrades that are proven to increase your home’s value and appeal.
With the PCE Index data coming in as exactly as expected and the Federal Reserve signaling a strong potential for a rate cut, there is much optimism we will be seeing a rate cut this year if not the start of the next year. Among the PCE inflation data reports were the GDP initial figures, which projected the economy has grown faster than expected. Additionally, Personal Income data has also grown faster than expected. Both are very positive signs with inflation finally showing signs of flagging after in part due to the Federal Reserve’s aggressive monetary policy.
Labor Day is more than just a day off—it’s a time to honor the hard work and dedication that drives our nation forward. As we enjoy the last days of summer, let’s take a moment to celebrate the achievements of workers everywhere. Whether you’re relaxing with family, firing up the grill, or taking a well-deserved break, remember that this holiday is about recognizing the contributions that make our communities strong.